6 Countries That Might Not Survive the Next Few Years

National borders have always been in a state of flux, and in the 21st century, countries with regions fighting for independence or facing pressures that could reconfigure the world map still exist. Let’s take a look at six countries whose borders might undergo significant changes in the coming years.


1 – Spain

Spain has been in the spotlight due to the Catalonian independence issue. This desire for autonomy from the central government has caused tensions, and it’s not the only Spanish region with similar aspirations: the Basque Country also has a unique linguistic and cultural identity and has shown interest in independence. With two regions expressing their will so strongly, Spain may face a new territorial configuration.


2 – Belgium

Belgium is a country where the division between Flanders (the Flemish region) and Wallonia (the French-speaking region) has been the subject of long-standing political and social debates. The coexistence of these two regions, with distinct languages and traditions, has generated tension that leaves open the possibility of a potential division of the country. Brussels, the capital, becomes a point of discord in this scenario, as it’s a bilingual city with international importance, also being the seat of the European Union.


3 – Iraq

Iraq faces a possible fragmentation due to the Kurdish people’s aspirations for the creation of Kurdistan, an independent region. The situation of the Kurds, who also inhabit parts of Turkey, Syria, and Iran, puts the entire region in a delicate position, as these countries fear the impact of potential Kurdish independence on their own minorities. The referendum held in Iraqi Kurdistan showed strong support for independence, opening a new phase of negotiations and challenges.


4 – United Kingdom

The United Kingdom is another country where the issue of regional independence is not new. In 2014, Scotland held a referendum on independence, which ended with a vote to remain. However, the UK’s exit from the European Union (Brexit) has reignited the debate, and the possibility of a new referendum is increasingly mentioned. Additionally, Northern Ireland has also raised questions about its stay in the UK, especially due to its close relationship with the Republic of Ireland.


5 – United States of America

In the United States of America, some states have laws and values that are radically different, creating internal divisions. The state of California is an example, with some movements defending its independence due to its cultural, economic, and political differences from the federal government. Although it’s unlikely that an American state will declare independence in the short term, the debate about a possible separation is becoming more visible in certain contexts.


6 – Maldives

In the case of the Maldives, the threat doesn’t come from internal conflicts, but from the rising sea level. Composed of more than two thousand islands, this country faces an existential threat that could force the evacuation of its population and, in the future, even the total loss of its territory. The Maldivian government is already planning migration strategies and seeking to ensure that its people have a safe future, even if it’s far from the islands where they’ve lived for centuries.


Conclusion

Each of these countries faces unique challenges that could alter their borders, whether through independence movements or the forces of nature. These possible changes highlight the reality that borders are not as permanent as they seem, and the world map may look quite different in the near future.

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